RECIPES / TEST-OPTIONAL OUTCOME TRACKER

What did test-optional policy make harder to see?

WSJ is covering a real SAT policy debate. This tracker uses CollegeData.fyi source layers to separate what changed in public testing visibility from what coarse UC outcome measures show so far.

CDS C8/C9IPEDSScorecard
UC campuses
9

Undergraduate UC campuses in the outcome watchlist.

Latest IPEDS year
2024

Retention, completion, and transfer-out come from ipeds_facts.

Median latest retention
93%

High baseline retention leaves limited room for visible shock.

UC score bands hidden
9/9

Current UC CDS serving rows with no reported SAT/ACT score bands.

Early read

The primary signal is observability: when schools stop requiring or collecting scores, public score reporting gets thinner. UC first-year retention does not show an obvious institution-level collapse, but retention is coarse, ceiling-limited, and confounded by the pandemic era. Completion and transfer-out remain useful watchlist measures, but they are too lagged to fully evaluate post-2020 cohorts.

§ Testing observability

What is still visible in CDS testing rows?

This table uses current school_browser_rows values only. It does not infer formal policy from submit rates, and it treats UC missingness as an observability result rather than as a score result.

SchoolPanelCDS yearSAT submitACT submitSAT 25/50/75ACT 25/50/75StatusNote
University of California, BerkeleyUC2025-26n/an/an/a / n/a / n/an/a / n/a / n/aNot reportedCDS row exists, but SAT/ACT submit rates and bands are not reported in the serving row.
University of California, DavisUC2024-25n/an/an/a / n/a / n/an/a / n/a / n/aNot reportedCDS row exists, but SAT/ACT submit rates and bands are not reported in the serving row.
University of California, IrvineUC2024-25n/an/an/a / n/a / n/an/a / n/a / n/aNot reportedCDS row exists, but SAT/ACT submit rates and bands are not reported in the serving row.
University of California, Los AngelesUC2025-26n/an/an/a / n/a / n/an/a / n/a / n/aNot reportedCDS row exists, but SAT/ACT submit rates and bands are not reported in the serving row.
University of California-MercedUC2024-25n/an/an/a / n/a / n/an/a / n/a / n/aNot reportedCDS row exists, but SAT/ACT submit rates and bands are not reported in the serving row.
University of California-RiversideUC2025-26n/an/an/a / n/a / n/an/a / n/a / n/aNot reportedCDS row exists, but SAT/ACT submit rates and bands are not reported in the serving row.
University of California, San DiegoUC2024-25n/an/an/a / n/a / n/an/a / n/a / n/aNot reportedCDS row exists, but SAT/ACT submit rates and bands are not reported in the serving row.
University of California, Santa BarbaraUC2025-26n/an/an/a / n/a / n/an/a / n/a / n/aNot reportedCDS row exists, but SAT/ACT submit rates and bands are not reported in the serving row.
University of California-Santa CruzUC2024-25n/an/an/a / n/a / n/an/a / n/a / n/aNot reportedCDS row exists, but SAT/ACT submit rates and bands are not reported in the serving row.
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyNews comparison2024-2583%29%1,520 / 1,550 / 1,57034 / 35 / 36Bands reportedCDS reports score bands in the current serving row.
Dartmouth CollegeNews comparison2025-2669%33%1,440 / 1,520 / 1,55032 / 34 / 35Bands reportedCDS reports score bands in the current serving row.
Yale UniversityNews comparison2025-2671%27%1,470 / 1,530 / 1,56033 / 34 / 35Bands reportedCDS reports score bands in the current serving row.
§ UC first-year retention watchlist

Retention is basically flat, but it is a weak instrument.

First-year retention is the fastest public outcome check available in IPEDS. It is also institution-level, high-ceiling data. Flat retention is useful evidence against a broad retention shock, not proof that classroom preparedness concerns are false.

UC campus201920202021202220232024Delta
University of California, Berkeley97%96%96%96%97%97%0 pts
University of California, Davis92%93%91%92%93%93%+1 pts
University of California, Irvine94%94%93%91%94%94%0 pts
University of California, Los Angeles97%96%97%97%97%97%0 pts
University of California-Merced85%86%79%82%83%82%-3 pts
University of California-Riverside90%91%88%87%88%88%-2 pts
University of California, San Diego93%94%95%93%94%94%+1 pts
University of California, Santa Barbara92%91%91%92%92%93%+1 pts
University of California-Santa Cruz89%85%89%88%90%88%-1 pts
§ Completion and transfer-out baseline

Completion data is still mostly a baseline.

Six-year graduation and transfer-out are worth tracking, but in June 2026 they are still too lagged to cleanly evaluate mature post-2020 test-blind cohorts. Treat these as baseline context and refresh them when new IPEDS vintages land.

UC campus2024 retention2024 six-year grad2024 transfer-outScorecard context
University of California, Berkeley97%93%n/aScorecard 2022-23: retention 97%, grad 93%, transfer-out 0.0%
University of California, Davis93%86%5%Scorecard 2022-23: retention 93%, grad 86%, transfer-out 4.9%
University of California, Irvine94%87%5%Scorecard 2022-23: retention 94%, grad 87%, transfer-out 4.6%
University of California, Los Angeles97%93%3%Scorecard 2022-23: retention 97%, grad 93%, transfer-out 3.4%
University of California-Merced82%69%11%Scorecard 2022-23: retention 82%, grad 69%, transfer-out 11%
University of California-Riverside88%76%9%Scorecard 2022-23: retention 88%, grad 76%, transfer-out 9.4%
University of California, San Diego94%86%4%Scorecard 2022-23: retention 94%, grad 86%, transfer-out 3.7%
University of California, Santa Barbara93%83%n/aScorecard 2022-23: retention 93%, grad 83%, transfer-out 0.0%
University of California-Santa Cruz88%75%10%Scorecard 2022-23: retention 88%, grad 75%, transfer-out 9.7%
§ Methodology limits
  • Formal test-policy labels require separately sourced URLs and verification dates.
  • UC is a highly selected public system, not the national applicant pool.
  • IPEDS retention is not course-level math readiness, DFW rates, GPA, or STEM persistence.
  • COVID disruption and test-policy changes overlap, so this is descriptive, not causal.
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The page and API use the same assembled dataset. Generated Jun 3, 2026 from public CollegeData.fyi tables.

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Latest IPEDS release: 2024-25 provisional (2026-03-01).